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When Everything Correlates
Capital Signals ·

When Everything Correlates

Four weeks of war stripped away the fiction that most portfolios are diversified. Stocks, bonds, and gold fell together — the second correlation breakdown in four years. What it means for founders who built 'balanced' portfolios after exit.

AI Just Repriced the Loan Book
Capital Signals ·

AI Just Repriced the Loan Book

AI wiped $1 trillion off software stocks in February. Now it's repricing the loans underneath them. JPMorgan's markdown of software credit is a signal founders with private market allocations can't ignore.

Private Credit Reckoning Has Started
Capital Signals ·

Private Credit Reckoning Has Started

Blue Owl's redemption halt exposed private credit's SaaS problem. Secondaries hit $240 billion. McKinsey declared the PE playbook dead. California's wealth tax moved forward. Four stories reshaping how founders think about private capital.